Date: Sunday, February 17, 2002
Time: 8:39 a.m.
TUCKERMAN AND HUNTINGTON RAVINES HAVE LOW AVALANCHE DANGER. Natural avalanches are very unlikely and
human triggered avalanches are unlikely except in isolated pockets on steep snow covered open slopes
and gullies. There is generally stable snow, but these pockets do exist so pay attention as you move
through avalanche terrain. Normal caution is advised.
1 to 3 inches (2.5-7.5 cm)of new snow are forecasted for today with a total of 3 to 6 inches (7.5-15 cm)
possible by late tonight. So be prepared for an increasing avalanche danger through the day. It is quite
possible to move up a rating or more if precipatation comes in quicker than expected, particularly on
southern facing aspects.
The light snow began early this morning with winds out of the West. Currently winds are out of the South
and should continue to wrap around counter clockwise. They should hold out of the NE for a majority of
the snowfall and remain light to moderate in speed. As high pressure moves in after the precipatation,
bringing cold temperatures, be prepared for winds to shift and increase. This should continue new loading
through the day tomorrow.
The North or right side of Tuckerman Ravine has more instability than the southern side though still
staying within the Low rating. Because of the strong lee nature and our prevailing winds, areas under
the Lip, Sluice, and Right gully may have pockets of softer hard slab than the southern side of the
ravine. In addition, unconsolidated snow can be found under a thin slab and surface crust in some
southern facing pockets. Although the tensile strength of the crust is still holding the slab together
the shear strength of the unconsolidated facets is weak. I think it would take a considerable force to
release these pockets, but an aggressive skier or rider may find the right sweet spot to trigger this
weakness. A small sluff or new slab avalanche in these areas could also step down and rip out this layer
so keep that in mind as new snow comes in today. Areas under the Sluice and left of center have wind pack
dominating the snowpack. Also be aware that an ice crust is interspersed through some areas of the bowl
and with the current flat lighting may be hard to ascertain.
With the warm weather last week followed by cold temperatures you should anticipate ice dams. Water
running from ice tool placements have been reported in numerous locations so be cautious for hydrolic
pressure in commonly found areas such as over the top of bulges and steep columns.
THE LION'S HEAD WINTER ROUTE IS OPEN. Follow the orange Lion Head signs off of the Tuckerman Ravine trail
about 1.75 miles up from Pinkham. This is a difficult steep route so crampons, ice axe, and mountaineering
skills are essential.
Coverage on the John Sherburne ski trail is fairly good, but we did loose some snow with yesterday's warm
weather. Expect condtions to be a bit firm as the entire trail went above freezing on Saturday.
PLEASE REMEMBER:
Any new precipitation may increase the avalanche
danger, this includes wind transported snow.
Obtain latest weather forecast before starting out.
For more information, contact the U.S. Forest Service
Snow Rangers: AMC at Pinkham Notch Visitor Center
or Hermit Lake Shelters.
This bulletin expires today at midnight and the
next avalanche bulletin will be issued tomorrow.
Brad Ray, Snow Ranger
USDA Forest Service
White Mountain National Forest
(603) 466-2713 TTY (603) 466-2856